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Sakura of Tokyo - law of 400 ℃ blooming cherry blossoms blooming in the mid next week ? ~

The law of 400 ℃ blooming cherry blossoms ?
Cherry tree you will want to grow ( dormancy ) , in the warmth towards the spring after awakening in the cold of winter , and blooms in late March around .
From the example of the past, we are adding the average daily temperature of February since the time when dormancy is over in Tokyo , to welcome the flowering by the time the total becomes 400 ℃ around has more . There is little variation from year to year ,

When I reach to 400 ℃ has become a measure of one of the cherry tree flowering generally .
As you separated every 10 years ,
About 396 ℃ 1970s
About 404 ℃ the 1980s
About 433 ℃ during the 1990s
About 416 ℃ 2000s
In the 2010s about 400 ℃ (4 -year average )
Average of up to 2013 - 1970 will be about 411 ℃.
I thought that like many following the case and if the accumulated temperature is extremely small here .
Winter is the cold winter trend , year such that warm rapidly in the spring has been flowering with relatively little accumulated temperature , " 355 ℃ 2013年" and " 335 ℃ 1977年" is around to it as an outstanding example .
On the other hand , tend to accumulated temperature increases , such as when the winter or a mild winter , was or is exposed to low temperatures, flowering just before , and " 458 ℃ 1995年" and " 453 ℃ 2005年" as an outstanding example I will hit it .
It is thought from the fact that through the cold wintry , was cold in early March , but it has become a trend higher than normal after mid , 400 ℃ around becomes a measure of flowering generally this year .

Average temperature of the day , it will be enough to divided by 2 by adding the maximum temperature and minimum temperature ,
As you calculate the accumulated temperature simply on the basis of the forecast ,
Saturday, about 350 ℃ 22
(Sunday) about 360 ℃ 23
( Month ) about 372 ℃ 24
Tuesday, about 388 ℃ 25
( Water ) about 404 ℃ 26
( Thursday) about 418 ℃ 27
( Gold ) about 433 ℃ 28
It becomes .
It seems possible that because there is no low temperature of flowering just before next week , the flowering on Thursday the 27th the 25th ( Tuesday) , at the latest at the earliest is large .
In addition , there is a possibility that the highest temperature is followed by a high temperature of 20 ℃ than even after the flowering , up to full bloom can take the 7 to 8 usually about from flowering , but in no time at 4 to 5 this year it seems to be thought that , to full bloom .

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